Suggestions for Sri Lanka's Cyclone Ditwah Recovery

"Sri Lanka relief location map" by Uwe Dedering is licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.

Sri Lanka suffered one of its worst natural disasters with Cyclone Ditwah which brought severe floods. Numerous lives have been lost, people are missing, houses are damaged or destroyed, some roads & railway tracks can no longer be travelled on among other problems. This is troubling as Sri Lanka is still recovering from its recent economic collapse. Relating to Sri Lanka’s economy, the IMF Mission Chief for Sri Lanka Evan Papageorgiou revealed that Sri Lanka has requested approximately 200 million USD of assistance due to Cyclone Ditwah. The IMF Executive Board is considering this request and will decide whether to approve it. In this article, I am writing suggestions for Sri Lanka’s Cyclone Ditwah recovery.

FDI

It would be very beneficial for Sri Lanka to seek foreign direct investments (FDIs) in sectors most affected by this crisis. Railways is a sector that has been seriously damaged. It has been reported that only 30% of Sri Lanka’s railways can be used following the cyclone damage. This comprises 478 km out of a 1,593 km total. It’s important to seek FDI on railways which includes improving the railway network to what it previously was. This could focus on upgrading railways including issues like electrification.

Agriculture has been seriously affected with floods overwhelming agricultural fields with water. Tea planter Roshan Rajadurai stated on dailymirror.lk that the tea industry is predicting a 30 to 35% reduced output. Farmers are facing serious crop damages. Lieke Schröder, a foreign investor based in Sri Lanka wrote an extensive social media post a few months ago dealing with foreign investment in agriculture. She stated that agriculture is presently estimated to only cover 0.24% of FDI. Lieke points out that she’s seeing a shift which includes the government taking efforts to solve issues foreign investors encounter, the Board of Investment (BOI) recognising investment projects in the North and her meeting startup founders combining agriculture and technology. Having FDI investment in agriculture can fasten its recovery and work to make this sector in a stronger state than ever before.

Other sectors which we should seek FDI include roads. This would be very useful for efforts to rebuild roads. Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) are businesses who have been seriously affected by this cyclone. Having FDI investment into MSMEs can save them from getting out of business and can restore them to make a positive contribution to Sri Lankan society.

PPP

The private sector has an important role to play in the recovery. The government should in my view have public-private partnerships (PPPs). As the government is working on restoring Sri Lanka, they should collaborate with the private sector when they have the skills and incentive to get involved. These would be a set of initiatives covering a range of sectors. An example could be a PPP with the construction sector focused on rebuilding efforts.

Aid

We have a necessity to seek foreign aid. Types of aid the government should make an effort to obtain include aid programs focused on disaster recovery and climate change. Aid could also cover sectors I’ve mentioned above for FDI which are railways, agriculture, roads and MSMEs.

Look at Other Countries

We need to look at other countries who recovered from similar disasters. A focus should be made on developing countries and other countries in Asia as they will have similarities with Sri Lanka. The government should talk to the foreign heads of missions who can advise us based on their experiences.

Final Thoughts & Conclusion

I propose the government have an independent investigation carried out to find out why the Sri Lankan system failed in its response to Cyclone Ditwah. It should be conducted by independent professionals who aren’t involved in politics of the government or any opposition parties. This investigation should give the steps to be taken to prevent future natural disasters from causing devastation.

In rebuilding efforts for homes, roads, buildings, railways and more, we need to design and build them to withstand future disasters. The best engineers should be involved in these efforts. It was good to hear the Sri Lankan President Anura Kumara Dissanayake stating that construction will not be allowed in flood zones and in areas with high-risk of landslides as part of the government’s relief for rebuilding homes.

We need to ensure that our recovery from Cyclone Ditwah does not hinder the economic progress we have made. It needs to be coordinated with our economic recovery. We need to engage with the international community to ease and accommodate our debt burden based on our current situation. Sri Lanka can’t afford to undo the economic gains made with another economic collapse.

This article does not cover all sectors damaged by Cyclone Ditwah and the full scale of what took place. That is outside the scope of this article. These are a set of suggestions for Sri Lanka’s recovery. I would appreciate hearing from others providing more suggestions on how to come out of this crisis. I am thinking of everyone affected by this unspeakable tragedy which includes those who died, got injured, lost loved ones, got their homes destroyed or damaged, farmers who suffered damaged crops among everyone else. I’m hopeful Sri Lanka will find a way to recover from this crisis.

What I Wish to See Happen in Sri Lanka

As Sri Lanka is about to have a presidential election, I decided to write about what I wish to see happen in Sri Lanka going forward. It includes what I want to see discontinue and remain of the current happenings. Out of the three main presidential candidates, the one I’m most concerned about coming to power is Anura Kumara Dissanayake. He leads the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) and the National People’s Power (NPP) alliance. My issues with the JVP are their communist ideology and the two insurrections they were responsible for. I don’t think they have a viable plan.

I’m pleased with the interim President Ranil Wickremesinghe’s work on Sri Lanka’s economic recovery, but am displeased with his handling of human rights and the politics he’s playing. He is contesting the presidency as an independent candidate. I think Samagi Jana Balawegaya (SJB) candidate Sajith Premadasa has sensible views on human rights, but I do not like his embrace of populism & the politics he’s doing and have concerns about his economic policies. I am not endorsing any political party or individual. I had written an article a few months ago about the current situation called “Displeased with All Sides”.

Abolish the Executive Presidency

I am of the view that the executive presidency should be abolished. The amount of power corrupts the person holding office. Recent cases of presidential abuse of power include President Ranil Wickremesinghe delaying the local government elections last year. The Supreme Court last month declared this to be a violation of voters’ essential rights. It was distressing to hear the President say following this that he wasn’t sorry for postponing the election.

In February this year, the President appointed the controversial Deshabandu Tennakoon as Inspector General of Police (IGP). This appointment was made a few months after the Supreme Court ordered Deshabandu Tennakoon to pay compensation for violating a citizen's fundamental rights and appeared to be unconstitutional. In July, the Supreme Court gave an interim order preventing Deshabandu Tennakoon from functioning as the IGP. It’s disappointing to see a lack of commitment from Ranil Wickremesinghe to abolish the executive presidency. Sajith Premadasa and Anura Kumara Dissanayake have committed to abolish the executive presidency.

Sensible Government

I wish to see a sensible government elected with sound policies. This would be a transparent government that follows proper processes and good governance. They would rectify the bad human rights situation currently going on, bring good human rights policies and repeal the controversial Online Safety Act. This government would not be corrupt and be without scandals. System change which people have been calling for would be implemented. Unity is needed in Sri Lanka with it being important for the government unifying the country including winning the trust of the minorities.

No More SLPP

The Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) is the party of the Rajapaksas which caused Sri Lanka to be in the mess that it’s in. There are members aligned with the Rajapaksas who have been part of the interim government and the SLPP independent group known as the Freedom People’s Congress (FPC) who are with the SJB. With the presidential election, some changes have been made. The SLPP decided to field their own candidate Namal Rajapaksa, yet most SLPP MPs chose to support Ranil Wickremesinghe. Two SLPP members who were in the interim government decided to contest this presidential election. I consider the SLPP to be a toxic party so I don’t wish to see any faction of them having a presence in the government.

Action Against Bribery and Corruption

Bribery and Corruption are major problems occurring in Sri Lanka. Action needs to be taken against politicians who’ve been engaging in these practices, especially those responsible for Sri Lanka’s economic crisis. We also need to work on bribery and corruption prevention. Sri Lanka is reported to have stolen assets stashed abroad, with serious allegations against the Rajapaksa political family. It’s essential to recover stolen assets utilising the Stolen Asset Recovery Initiative (StAR) of the United Nations Office of Drugs and Crime (UNODC) & the World Bank Group.

Reducing the Crime Rate

Sri Lanka unfortunately has a high crime rate. Criminal activity seems to have been growing over the last five years. It’s distressing to hear of shootings going on causing loss of life. This gun violence needs to stop. The government needs to take action to reduce the crime rate as this is a serious national security concern. It’s important to incorporate teaching against crime in the school curriculum. It’s imperative to establish the rule of law in Sri Lanka.

Economic Recovery

I am of the view that Sri Lanka’s economic recovery is one present initiative going in the right direction. It’s good that the IMF program was secured. Both the SJB and NPP have said they would renegotiate the IMF agreement if they come to power. My view on the issue is this. If the IMF is willing to renegotiate and the new government comes up with sensible modifications which are able to ease the burden on the people and better reach the targets, then I am for it. My concern is of the government playing politics with Sri Lanka’s recovery where their attempts at renegotiation results in the IMF agreement being withdrawn or it’s approved with changes which makes the situation worse. I think the SJB is more sensible than the NPP when it comes to the IMF agreement.

In April this year, the ADB forecasted Sri Lanka to reach 1.9% and 2.5% growth in 2024 and 2025 after two years of negative growth. I hope to see economic growth exceeding those numbers. A few years ago, the State Owned Enterprise Restructuring Unit (SOERU) was set up at the Ministry of Finance. Many State-Owned-Enterprises (SOEs) are a drain on the economy with their losses so this is an important move. Unfortunately, the restructuring unit has been facing delays and hasn’t restructured a single SOE so far. I hope that the SOERU would be strengthened enabling it to successfully restructure SOEs.

I’m writing this just before the presidential election has occurred. When you read this, the results of the election may have come out. I know that some of these topics I’ve written about are unrealistic. I see indications to some of them in different parties, but I don’t see one party having all of them. Our messed-up politics is causing so much damage and needs to transform into something new.